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| **Claim 2**: "Trans women are convicted of sexual offenses at rates of about 1,177 per million—higher than men's 490 per million." | **Claim 2**: "Trans women are convicted of sexual offenses at rates of about 1,177 per million—higher than men's 490 per million." | ||
| - | **Any Claim about**: Over representation of Trans Women in prisons for " | + | **Any claim suggesting**: |
| + | * Over-representation of trans women in prisons for " | ||
| + | * Trans women are per-capita more likely to commit " | ||
| + | * Trans women pose a greater risk/threat to cisgender people | ||
| + | * Based on prison | ||
| + | |||
| + | **All of these claims** rely on the same statistical manipulation techniques and misrepresentations of studies and fact, which we'll break down below. | ||
| - | Both claims cite the same UK Ministry of Justice prison data. Both are statistical manipulation. | ||
| ===== What the Prison Data Actually Shows ===== | ===== What the Prison Data Actually Shows ===== | ||
| Line 85: | Line 90: | ||
| //Short version: It doesn' | //Short version: It doesn' | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===== What Counts as a " | ||
| + | |||
| + | Before we analyze the numbers, we need to understand what " | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== The Full Scope of UK Sexual Offenses ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | Under UK law, " | ||
| + | |||
| + | **Serious violent offenses:** | ||
| + | * Rape and attempted rape | ||
| + | * Sexual assault and attempted sexual assault | ||
| + | * Child sexual abuse offenses | ||
| + | * Indecent assault | ||
| + | |||
| + | **Non-violent and non-contact offenses:** | ||
| + | * Possession of indecent images | ||
| + | * Distribution of indecent images | ||
| + | * Making/ | ||
| + | * Voyeurism | ||
| + | * Exposure/ | ||
| + | * Outraging public decency | ||
| + | |||
| + | **Sex work-related offenses:** | ||
| + | * Soliciting for prostitution | ||
| + | * Loitering for prostitution | ||
| + | * Controlling prostitution | ||
| + | * Keeping a brothel | ||
| + | * Advertising sexual services | ||
| + | |||
| + | **Other sexual offenses:** | ||
| + | * Sexual activity in a public toilet | ||
| + | * Breach of Sexual Harm Prevention Order | ||
| + | * Failure to register as sex offender | ||
| + | * Various consent and age-of-consent related charges | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== Why This Matters ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | When someone hears "76 trans women sex offenders," | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Someone convicted of soliciting for sex work | ||
| + | * Someone who failed to register an address change as a former offender | ||
| + | * Someone caught with downloaded pornography | ||
| + | * Someone convicted of public indecency | ||
| + | * Someone convicted of rape or sexual assault | ||
| + | |||
| + | **These are NOT equivalent crimes**, yet they' | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== The Sex Work Factor ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | Trans women, particularly trans women of color, are **disproportionately pushed into survival sex work** due to: | ||
| + | * Employment discrimination | ||
| + | * Housing discrimination | ||
| + | * Family rejection | ||
| + | * Lack of economic opportunities | ||
| + | |||
| + | **Research shows**: | ||
| + | * Trans women are far more likely to engage in sex work than cisgender women | ||
| + | * Trans women in sex work face higher rates of criminalization | ||
| + | * Many " | ||
| + | |||
| + | This means the " | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==== The Emotional Manipulation ==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | Using the term " | ||
| + | |||
| + | **The reality**: The category ranges from rape to soliciting, and treating them as equivalent is intellectually dishonest. | ||
| + | |||
| + | **What we know**: The MoJ data tells us 76 trans women prisoners had sexual offense convictions. **What we don't know**: The distribution of those offenses across the wide spectrum of UK sexual offense law. | ||